A Escola das Odds

Kilmarnock v Dundee FC

Início: 2026-05-12 18:45 UTC

Final: Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kilmarnock (Local)

Previsão 60.20%1.66odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.60%60.10%60.14%61.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.561.561.6368.97%64.10%64.10%61.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dundee FC (Visitante)

Previsão 17.67%5.66odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.188%
Kelly -0.229%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.68%17.73%17.72%19.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.755.185.205.6021.05%19.29%19.23%17.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.13%4.52odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -0.597%
Kelly -0.773%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.03%22.17%22.14%23.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.854.164.204.4025.97%24.07%23.81%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.86%EV -1.87%E -1.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.78%EV -9.71%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.36%EV -5.06%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 18:40
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:25
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:25
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.83%EV -3.08%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.28%EV -6.88%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 18:31
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 18:35
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:36
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:35
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:26
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:25
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:25
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:25
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 18:36
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:36
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:36
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:25
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:25
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:35
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:36
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:34
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:30
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 18:31
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:26
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:25
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.05%E -0.188%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 18:30
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.95%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -3.70%E -0.679%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 18:36
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:31
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:35
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 18:30
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 18:40
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -16.07%E -3.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:30
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.35%EV -10.30%E -6.91%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -8.16%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-12 18:35
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.57%EV -12.71%E -8.76%K -28.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.00%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -14.80%E -3.84%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-12 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-12 18:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:30
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-05-12 18:35