The School of Odds

Hibernian v Motherwell

2026-08-02 15:30 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

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Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hibernian (Local)

Prediction 41.79%2.39fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.12%41.88%41.79%44.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.082.192.202.3048%46%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Motherwell (Visit)

Prediction 30.88%3.24fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.63%30.86%30.84%31.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.003.1536%33%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.31%27.26%27.37%28.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.453.6031%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.451%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 00:09
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -4.30%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.94%EV -6.82%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 15:59
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.62%E -0.451%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 22:39
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 22:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.58%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.84%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 15:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 13:15
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -6.81%E -3.05%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 15:24
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.81%E -3.05%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 15:22
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.23%E -3.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.46%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 16:00
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.23%E -3.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.46%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 16:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 22:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 05:19
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:24
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 10:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 11:33
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 16:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 15:25
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.79%EV -9.32%E -4.29%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 22:32
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.15%E -4.72%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 12:50
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:29
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:29
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -12.24%E -5.83%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -12.24%E -5.83%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-18 15:35
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.24%E -5.83%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-21 07:15
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -13.08%E -6.29%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 23:29
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -13.08%E -6.29%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 23:29
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -13.08%E -6.29%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%9.0%2026-07-13 16:25