The School of OddsHibernian v Motherwell
Head to Head
Option 1: Hibernian (Local)
Odds
1.9551.28%Min
2.1147.40%Mean
2.1247.17%Median
2.1746.08%Max
Consensus probabilities
43.17%2.316Min
44.18%2.263Max
43.61%2.293Mean
43.65%2.291Median
43.59%2.294IQM
43.59%2.294Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.17 under the IQM model: 43.59%
EV -5.41%Edge -2.49%Kelly -4.62%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Motherwell (Visit)
Odds
2.8035.71%Min
3.0932.39%Mean
3.1032.26%Median
3.2031.25%Max
Consensus probabilities
29.39%3.403Min
31.02%3.224Max
29.84%3.351Mean
29.85%3.350Median
29.89%3.345IQM
29.83%3.352Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.20 under the IQM model: 29.89%
EV -4.35%Edge -1.36%Kelly -1.98%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.4928.66%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.5528.17%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.55%3.914Min
26.87%3.722Max
26.56%3.766Mean
26.49%3.775Median
26.52%3.771IQM
26.58%3.763Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.55 under the IQM model: 26.52%
EV -5.86%Edge -1.65%Kelly -2.30%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Hibernian (Local) ▼ | Motherwell (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08% NM 43.17%EV -5.41% E -2.49% K -4.62% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.22%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41% NM 26.61%EV -6.66% E -1.89% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 09:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.74%EV -6.28% E -2.92% K -5.46% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.39%EV -4.35% E -1.36% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.87%EV -7.19% E -2.05% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-03 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.40%EV -6.28% E -2.92% K -5.46% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.10%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41% NM 26.51%EV -6.66% E -1.89% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 08:55 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.33%EV -6.28% E -2.92% K -5.46% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.05%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.62%EV -7.19% E -2.05% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.33%EV -6.28% E -2.92% K -5.46% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.05%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.62%EV -7.19% E -2.05% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.33%EV -6.28% E -2.92% K -5.46% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.05%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.62%EV -7.19% E -2.05% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.33%EV -6.28% E -2.92% K -5.46% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.05%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.62%EV -7.19% E -2.05% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.05%EV -7.59% E -3.58% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -5.84% E -1.85% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.31%EV -5.86% E -1.65% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.05%EV -7.59% E -3.58% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -5.84% E -1.85% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.31%EV -5.86% E -1.65% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.05%EV -7.59% E -3.58% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -5.84% E -1.85% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.31%EV -5.86% E -1.65% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.05%EV -7.59% E -3.58% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -5.84% E -1.85% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.31%EV -5.86% E -1.65% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.05%EV -7.59% E -3.58% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -5.84% E -1.85% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.31%EV -5.86% E -1.65% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.05%EV -7.59% E -3.58% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.65%EV -5.84% E -1.85% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.31%EV -5.86% E -1.65% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17% NM 43.68%EV -7.59% E -3.58% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.87%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.46%EV -7.19% E -2.05% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17% NM 43.68%EV -7.59% E -3.58% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.87%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.46%EV -7.19% E -2.05% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17% NM 43.68%EV -7.59% E -3.58% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.87%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.46%EV -7.19% E -2.05% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17% NM 43.68%EV -7.59% E -3.58% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.87%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.46%EV -7.19% E -2.05% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.74%EV -8.46% E -4.03% K -7.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.63%EV -7.34% E -2.37% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.63%EV -8.51% E -2.47% K -3.48% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08% NM 43.77%EV -9.33% E -4.49% K -8.64% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 29.85%EV -8.83% E -2.89% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.39%EV -8.51% E -2.47% K -3.48% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08% NM 43.77%EV -9.33% E -4.49% K -8.64% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 29.85%EV -8.83% E -2.89% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.39%EV -8.51% E -2.47% K -3.48% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08% NM 43.60%EV -9.33% E -4.49% K -8.64% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 29.73%EV -8.83% E -2.89% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.67%EV -9.84% E -2.89% K -4.10% G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.07I 48.31% NM 43.88%EV -9.77% E -4.72% K -9.13% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 29.78%EV -8.83% E -2.89% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.33%EV -8.51% E -2.47% K -3.48% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00% NM 43.43%EV -12.82% E -6.41% K -12.82% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 31.02%EV -16.30% E -5.82% K -9.06% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.55%EV -9.84% E -2.89% K -4.10% G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28% NM 44.18%EV -15.00% E -7.69% K -15.79% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 29.71%EV -13.31% E -4.59% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.11%EV -12.49% E -3.79% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth