L’École des cotes

Hibernian v Motherwell

2026-08-02 15:30 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hibernian (Local)

Prévision 41.79%2.39cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -2.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.12%41.88%41.79%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.082.192.202.3048.08%45.74%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Motherwell (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.88%3.24cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.862%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.63%30.86%30.84%31.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.003.1536.36%33.02%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.33%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.451%
Kelly -0.625%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.31%27.26%27.37%28.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.423.453.6031.25%29.22%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.451%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 00:09
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -4.30%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.94%EV -6.82%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 15:59
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.62%E -0.451%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 22:39
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 22:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.58%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.57%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.84%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 15:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 13:15
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -6.81%E -3.05%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 15:24
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.81%E -3.05%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 15:22
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.23%E -3.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.46%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 01:10
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.23%E -3.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.46%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 01:10
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 22:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 05:19
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:24
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 10:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 11:33
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.06%E -3.67%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 01:10
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 15:25
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.79%EV -9.32%E -4.29%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 22:32
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.15%E -4.72%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 12:50
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:29
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:29
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.41%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -12.24%E -5.83%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -12.24%E -5.83%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-18 15:35
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.24%E -5.83%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-21 07:15
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -13.08%E -6.29%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 23:29
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -13.08%E -6.29%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 23:29
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -13.08%E -6.29%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%9.0%2026-07-13 16:25