Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian v Motherwell

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC

Score final : Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian (Local)

Prévision 50.61%1.98cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.939%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.15%50.39%50.75%51.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.861.861.9457.80%53.66%53.76%51.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Motherwell (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.13%4.32cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.512%
Kelly -0.671%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.25%23.25%23.03%25.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.974.004.2327.78%25.22%25.00%23.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.26%3.81cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.763%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.34%26.36%26.21%27.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.533.523.7029.85%28.36%28.41%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hibernian (Local) : 50.61% ; Motherwell (Visiteur) : 23.13% ; Match nul : 26.26%. Pour Hibernian (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.98. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.94, pour une espérance de -1.82% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.77%EV -1.82%E -0.939%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.77%EV -1.82%E -0.939%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.74%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.74%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.74%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:24
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:24
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:25
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.85%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.85%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.11%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.71%EV -2.17%E -0.512%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -3.61%E -0.983%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.11%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.71%EV -2.17%E -0.512%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -3.61%E -0.983%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.11%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.71%EV -2.17%E -0.512%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -3.61%E -0.983%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:15
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV -2.63%E -0.625%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.35%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 15:24
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -16.74%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -14.43%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -14.43%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -14.43%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.94%EV -5.87%E -3.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:24
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:19
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.33%EV -6.88%E -3.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -12.01%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 15:25
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.30%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.62%EV -4.02%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.82%E -0.763%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 15:20
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.86%E -0.681%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.02%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.55%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:24
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:24
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.91%E -4.95%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:24
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.41%E -5.26%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.41%E -5.26%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 15:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.87%EV -12.45%E -7.20%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.01%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 15:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.75%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.68%-0.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-08-02 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-08-02 15:25