Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hibernian v Motherwell

Início: 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC

Final: Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hibernian (Local)

Previsão 50.61%1.98odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -0.939%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.15%50.39%50.75%51.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.861.861.9457.80%53.66%53.76%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Motherwell (Visitante)

Previsão 23.13%4.32odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -0.512%
Kelly -0.671%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.25%23.25%23.03%25.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.974.004.2327.78%25.22%25.00%23.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.26%3.81odd justa
EV -2.82%
Vantagem -0.763%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.34%26.36%26.21%27.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.533.523.7029.85%28.36%28.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hibernian (Local): 50.61%; Motherwell (Visitante): 23.13%; Empate: 26.26%. Para Hibernian (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.98. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.94, com valor esperado de -1.82%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.77%EV -1.82%E -0.939%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.77%EV -1.82%E -0.939%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.74%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.74%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.74%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:24
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:24
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:25
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.85%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.85%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.11%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.71%EV -2.17%E -0.512%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -3.61%E -0.983%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.11%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.71%EV -2.17%E -0.512%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -3.61%E -0.983%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.11%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.71%EV -2.17%E -0.512%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -3.61%E -0.983%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:15
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV -2.63%E -0.625%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.35%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.86%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 15:24
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -16.74%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -14.43%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -14.43%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -14.43%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.94%EV -5.87%E -3.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:24
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:19
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.33%EV -6.88%E -3.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -12.01%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 15:25
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.30%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.62%EV -4.02%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.82%E -0.763%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 15:20
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.86%E -0.681%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.02%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.55%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:24
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:24
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.91%E -4.95%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:24
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.41%E -5.26%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -9.41%E -5.26%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 15:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.87%EV -12.45%E -7.20%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.96%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.01%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 15:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.75%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.68%-0.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-08-02 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-08-02 15:25