La escuela de los momios

Hibernian v Motherwell

2026-08-02 15:30 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hibernian (Local)

Predicción 41.79%2.39momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -2.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.12%41.88%41.88%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.192.202.3048.08%45.74%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Motherwell (Visitante)

Predicción 30.98%3.23momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.769%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.63%30.91%30.96%31.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.003.1536.36%33.07%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.549%
Kelly -0.760%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.31%27.21%27.16%28.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.453.6031.25%29.17%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -1.98%E -0.549%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 00:09
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.04%E -0.972%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.94%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 15:59
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.98%E -0.549%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 22:39
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 22:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:19
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.58%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.57%EV -5.21%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.84%EV -8.51%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 15:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:19
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 13:15
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -6.80%E -3.05%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -5.21%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.51%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 15:24
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.80%E -3.05%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 15:22
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.22%E -3.25%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.69%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 03:29
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.22%E -3.25%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.69%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 03:30
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.62%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 22:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.62%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 05:19
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -5.52%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:24
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 10:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 11:33
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 03:29
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -8.89%E -4.08%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -8.62%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.51%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 15:25
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.79%EV -9.31%E -4.29%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.62%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 22:32
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -3.97%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 12:50
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.40%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.42%E -0.769%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -3.34%E -0.940%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.40%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.42%E -0.769%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -3.34%E -0.940%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.40%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.42%E -0.769%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -3.34%E -0.940%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.40%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.42%E -0.769%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -3.34%E -0.940%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.40%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.42%E -0.769%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -3.34%E -0.940%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.40%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.42%E -0.769%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -3.34%E -0.940%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 23:29
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.40%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.97%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.40%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.97%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:29
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.40%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.97%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:29
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -11.40%E -5.38%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.97%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -12.23%E -5.83%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -3.97%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -12.23%E -5.83%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-18 15:35
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.23%E -5.83%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.81%E -5.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-21 07:15
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -13.07%E -6.28%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.52%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 23:29
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -13.07%E -6.28%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.52%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 23:29
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -13.07%E -6.28%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.52%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 17:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%9.0%2026-07-13 16:25