Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Hibernian v Kilmarnock

Początek: 2026-09-15 18:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Hibernian (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 66.48%1.50kurs godziwy
EV -3.60%
Przewaga -2.48%
Kelly -8.01%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.30%66.35%66.62%67.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.341.401.401.4574.63%71.24%71.43%68.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kilmarnock (Goście)

Prognoza 13.94%7.17kurs godziwy
EV -2.26%
Przewaga -0.322%
Kelly -0.376%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.01

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.12%14.04%13.78%15.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.006.576.507.0116.67%15.21%15.38%14.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 19.58%5.11kurs godziwy
EV -2.12%
Przewaga -0.423%
Kelly -0.529%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.35%19.62%19.61%21.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.304.694.655.0023.26%21.31%21.51%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Hibernian (Gospodarze): 66.48%; Kilmarnock (Goście): 13.94%; Remis: 19.58%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.11. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 5.00, przy wartości oczekiwanej -2.12%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.41%EV -3.60%E -2.48%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.74%EV -2.26%E -0.322%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.85%EV -5.05%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 18:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -10.77%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -10.77%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:05
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 18:36
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.26%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 17:44
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.07%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 17:45
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.17%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 17:45
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -13.86%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 18:41
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.28%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.62%EV -4.35%E -0.634%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.97%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 18:40
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.13%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -10.93%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -14.95%E -2.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 18:05
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 17:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 17:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.07%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 17:21
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 14:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -5.89%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 14:16
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:41
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:40
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.58%EV -4.49%E -0.656%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -8.97%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 17:41
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:16
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.20%EV -7.59%E -5.46%K -19.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -8.26%E -5.98%K -21.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.57%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -14.95%E -2.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-15 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -10.25%E -7.59%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -6.58%E -0.983%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.02%EV -10.92%E -8.15%K -32.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 18:16
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.81%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22%0.1%2026-09-15 18:41
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.30%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-15 18:00