Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.01
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Hibernian (Local): 66.48%; Kilmarnock (Visitante): 13.94%; Empate: 19.58%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.11. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 5.00, con un valor esperado de -2.12%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.41%EV -3.60%E -2.48%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.74%EV -2.26%E -0.322%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.85%EV -5.05%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -10.77%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -10.77%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 18:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.26%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 17:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.07%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.17%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -13.86%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.28%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 13.62%EV -4.35%E -0.634%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.97%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.13%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -10.93%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -14.95%E -2.45%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 17:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.07%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 17:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 14:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 14:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -5.89%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 14:16 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.58%EV -4.49%E -0.656%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -8.97%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 18:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 17:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:16 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.20%EV -7.59%E -5.46%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -8.26%E -5.98%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.57%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -14.95%E -2.45%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -10.25%E -7.59%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -6.58%E -0.983%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.02%EV -10.92%E -8.15%K -32.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 18:16 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22% | 0.1% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 0.4% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 0.4% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 0.4% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 0.4% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.30% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |