Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian v Kilmarnock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-15 18:45 UTC

Score final : Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian (Local)

Prévision 66.48%1.50cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -2.48%
Kelly -8.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.30%66.35%66.62%67.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.401.401.4574.63%71.24%71.43%68.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kilmarnock (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.94%7.17cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.322%
Kelly -0.376%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 7.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.12%14.04%13.78%15.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.006.576.507.0116.67%15.21%15.38%14.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.58%5.11cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -0.529%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.35%19.62%19.61%21.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.694.655.0023.26%21.31%21.51%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hibernian (Local) : 66.48% ; Kilmarnock (Visiteur) : 13.94% ; Match nul : 19.58%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.11. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 5.00, pour une espérance de -2.12% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.41%EV -3.60%E -2.48%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.74%EV -2.26%E -0.322%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.85%EV -5.05%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 18:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -10.77%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -10.77%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:05
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 18:36
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.26%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 17:44
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.07%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 17:45
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.17%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 17:45
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -13.86%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 18:41
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:05
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.28%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.62%EV -4.35%E -0.634%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.97%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 18:40
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.13%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -12.86%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -10.93%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -14.95%E -2.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 18:05
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 17:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 17:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.07%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 17:21
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 14:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -5.89%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 14:16
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:41
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:40
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.19%E -0.763%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.58%EV -4.49%E -0.656%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -8.97%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 17:41
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:16
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.20%EV -7.59%E -5.46%K -19.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -8.26%E -5.98%K -21.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.57%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -14.95%E -2.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-15 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -10.25%E -7.59%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -6.58%E -0.983%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.02%EV -10.92%E -8.15%K -32.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 18:16
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.81%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22%0.1%2026-09-15 18:41
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.30%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-15 18:00