Language:English
Hearts v Falkirk F.C.
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hearts (Local)
Prediction 53.38%1.87fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.47%53.52%53.30%57.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.721.741.8364.10%58.13%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Falkirk F.C. (Visit)
Prediction 20.69%4.83fair odd
EV +5.53%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.39%20.60%20.80%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.594.505.1024.39%21.79%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV -0.164%
Edge -0.043%
Kelly -0.058%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.88%25.90%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.623.603.8531.75%27.63%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hearts (Local): 53.38%; Falkirk F.C. (Visit): 20.69%; Draw: 25.93%. For Falkirk F.C. (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +5.53%E +1.09%K +1.35%G +0.075% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -0.164%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +5.53%E +1.09%K +1.35%G +0.075% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -0.164%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -11.40%E -6.87%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -11.40%E -6.87%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.65%EV -12.46%E -7.60%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -14.07%E -8.74%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.86%EV -0.053%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.72%EV -10.28%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -0.674%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -9.80%E -5.80%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -0.674%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.54%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.32%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.14%EV -0.423%E -0.110%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -2.74%E -0.584%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -4.81%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -5.85%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -5.85%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.36%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -11.02%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -11.02%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.78%EV -9.80%E -5.80%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 53.31%EV -16.73%E -10.73%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.28%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.40%EV -18.32%E -5.81%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.88% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |