L’École des cotes

Hearts v Falkirk F.C.

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hearts (Local)

Prévision 53.38%1.87cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.47%53.52%53.30%57.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.721.741.8364.10%58.13%57.47%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.69%4.83cote équitable
EV +5.53%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.075%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.39%20.60%20.80%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.594.505.1024.39%21.79%22.22%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.93%3.86cote équitable
EV -0.164%
Avantage -0.043%
Kelly -0.058%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%25.88%25.90%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.623.603.8531.75%27.63%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +5.53%E +1.09%K +1.35%G +0.075%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -0.164%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:59
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +5.53%E +1.09%K +1.35%G +0.075%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -0.164%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -11.40%E -6.87%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -11.40%E -6.87%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:00
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:00
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.65%EV -12.46%E -7.60%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -14.07%E -8.74%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:00
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.86%EV -0.053%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.72%EV -10.28%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -0.674%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:58
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -9.80%E -5.80%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -0.674%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.54%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.32%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.14%EV -0.423%E -0.110%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:56
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -2.74%E -0.584%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:00
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -4.81%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -5.85%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:00
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -5.85%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.36%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -11.02%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:59
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -11.02%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:00
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.78%EV -9.80%E -5.80%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-21 14:58
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.31%EV -16.73%E -10.73%K -29.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.28%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.40%EV -18.32%E -5.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.00%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-02-21 15:00