مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hearts v Falkirk F.C.

البداية: 2026-02-21 15:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hearts (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.38%1.87السعر العادل
EV -2.32%
الأفضلية -1.27%
Kelly -2.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.47%53.52%53.30%57.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.721.741.8364.10%58.13%57.47%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Falkirk F.C. (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.69%4.83السعر العادل
EV +5.53%
الأفضلية +1.09%
Kelly +1.35%
النمو +0.075%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.39%20.60%20.80%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.104.594.505.1024.39%21.79%22.22%19.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.93%3.86السعر العادل
EV -0.164%
الأفضلية -0.043%
Kelly -0.058%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.51%25.88%25.90%27.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.623.603.8531.75%27.63%27.78%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +5.53%E +1.09%K +1.35%G +0.075%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -0.164%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:59
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +5.53%E +1.09%K +1.35%G +0.075%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -0.164%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -11.40%E -6.87%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -11.40%E -6.87%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:00
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:00
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.65%EV -12.46%E -7.60%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -14.07%E -8.74%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:00
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.86%EV -0.053%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.72%EV -10.28%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -0.674%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:58
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -9.80%E -5.80%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -0.674%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.54%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.32%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.14%EV -0.423%E -0.110%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:56
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -2.74%E -0.584%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:00
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -4.81%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -5.85%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:00
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -5.85%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.36%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -11.02%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:59
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -11.02%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:00
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.78%EV -9.80%E -5.80%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-21 14:58
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.31%EV -16.73%E -10.73%K -29.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.28%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.40%EV -18.32%E -5.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-21 15:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.00%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-02-21 15:00