La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hearts v Falkirk F.C.
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hearts (Local)
Predicción 53.38%1.87momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.47%53.52%53.30%57.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.721.741.8364.10%58.13%57.47%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Falkirk F.C. (Visitante)
Predicción 20.69%4.83momio equitativo
EV +5.53%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.39%20.60%20.80%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.594.505.1024.39%21.79%22.22%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.93%3.86momio equitativo
EV -0.164%
Ventaja -0.043%
Kelly -0.058%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%25.88%25.90%27.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.623.603.8531.75%27.63%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +5.53%E +1.09%K +1.35%G +0.075% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -0.164%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +5.53%E +1.09%K +1.35%G +0.075% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -0.164%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -11.40%E -6.87%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -11.40%E -6.87%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.65%EV -12.46%E -7.60%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -14.07%E -8.74%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +3.46%E +0.693%K +0.866%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -1.46%E -0.384%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV +1.40%E +0.285%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.86%EV -0.053%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.72%EV -10.28%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -0.674%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -9.80%E -5.80%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -0.674%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.54%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.32%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.14%EV -0.423%E -0.110%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.71%E -0.360%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -2.74%E -0.584%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -4.81%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -5.85%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -5.85%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.36%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -7.92%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -11.02%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -11.02%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.78%EV -9.80%E -5.80%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -12.05%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -5.53%E -3.12%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 53.31%EV -16.73%E -10.73%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.28%EV -15.16%E -3.70%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.40%EV -18.32%E -5.81%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.88% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |