Language:English
Hearts v Aberdeen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hearts (Local)
Prediction 65.79%1.52fair odd
EV -0.659%
Edge -0.437%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.54%65.80%65.77%68.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.401.401.5179.37%71.18%71.43%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aberdeen (Visit)
Prediction 13.52%7.39fair odd
EV +8.19%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.60%13.51%13.53%15.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.037.008.0016.67%14.23%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.69%4.83fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.365%
Kelly -0.463%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.52%20.70%20.70%23.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.514.504.7525.00%22.17%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hearts (Local): 65.79%; Aberdeen (Visit): 13.52%; Draw: 20.69%. For Aberdeen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.39. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 07:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:03 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:52 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -11.84%E -8.84%K -34.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -11.84%E -8.84%K -34.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.31I 13.68%NM 13.16%EV -1.14%E -0.156%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.95%E -0.269%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.54%EV -0.659%E -0.437%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.29%EV -2.36%E -0.326%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.17%EV -14.35%E -3.47%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.00%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -9.87%E -7.20%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -6.68%E -0.969%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -6.68%E -0.969%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.71%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.75%EV -9.39%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -10.06%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.19%EV -8.55%E -6.15%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -10.74%E -1.63%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -11.04%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -2.63%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -1.74%E -0.365%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -7.24%E -5.13%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.07%EV -13.82%E -10.55%K -44.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.32%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.09%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -15.47%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -15.47%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.64%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 65.57%EV -17.11%E -13.58%K -65.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 13.77%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.66%EV -17.25%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.75% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |