L’École des cotes

Hearts v Aberdeen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hearts (Local)

Prévision 65.79%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.659%
Avantage -0.437%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.54%65.80%65.77%68.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.401.401.5179.37%71.18%71.43%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aberdeen (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.52%7.39cote équitable
EV +8.19%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.60%13.51%13.53%15.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.037.008.0016.67%14.23%14.29%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.69%4.83cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.463%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.52%20.70%20.70%23.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.514.504.7525.00%22.17%22.22%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:56
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 07:49
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:56
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:56
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:54
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:03
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:52
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -11.84%E -8.84%K -34.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 14:56
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -11.84%E -8.84%K -34.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 14:56
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.31I 13.68%NM 13.16%EV -1.14%E -0.156%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.95%E -0.269%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:55
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.54%EV -0.659%E -0.437%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.29%EV -2.36%E -0.326%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.17%EV -14.35%E -3.47%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 14:55
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 14:55
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.00%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:06
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 13:35
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:56
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -9.87%E -7.20%K -26.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -6.68%E -0.969%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -6.68%E -0.969%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.71%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.75%EV -9.39%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -10.06%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.19%EV -8.55%E -6.15%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -10.74%E -1.63%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -11.04%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 13:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -2.63%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -1.74%E -0.365%K -0.463%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:55
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -7.24%E -5.13%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:55
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 66.07%EV -13.82%E -10.55%K -44.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.32%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.09%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -15.47%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -15.47%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.64%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:55
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:55
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 65.57%EV -17.11%E -13.58%K -65.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.77%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.66%EV -17.25%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%21.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.75%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55