La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hearts v Aberdeen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hearts (Local)
Predicción 65.79%1.52momio equitativo
EV -0.659%
Ventaja -0.437%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.54%65.80%65.77%68.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.401.401.5179.37%71.18%71.43%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aberdeen (Visitante)
Predicción 13.52%7.39momio equitativo
EV +8.19%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.096%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.60%13.51%13.53%15.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.037.008.0016.67%14.23%14.29%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.69%4.83momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.365%
Kelly -0.463%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.52%20.70%20.70%23.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.514.504.7525.00%22.17%22.22%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 07:49 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:03 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:52 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -11.84%E -8.84%K -34.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -11.84%E -8.84%K -34.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.31I 13.68%NM 13.16%EV -1.14%E -0.156%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.95%E -0.269%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.54%EV -0.659%E -0.437%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.29%EV -2.36%E -0.326%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.17%EV -14.35%E -3.47%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.00%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -9.87%E -7.20%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -6.68%E -0.969%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -6.68%E -0.969%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.71%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.75%EV -9.39%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -10.06%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.19%EV -8.55%E -6.15%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -10.74%E -1.63%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -11.04%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 13:35 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -2.63%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -1.74%E -0.365%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -7.24%E -5.13%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.07%EV -13.82%E -10.55%K -44.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.32%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.09%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -15.47%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bovada | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -15.47%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.64%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 65.57%EV -17.11%E -13.58%K -65.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 13.77%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.66%EV -17.25%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.75% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |