La scuola delle quote

Hearts v Aberdeen

Inizio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hearts (Casa)

Previsione 65.79%1.52quota equa
EV -0.659%
Vantaggio -0.437%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.54%65.80%65.77%68.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.261.401.401.5179.37%71.18%71.43%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aberdeen (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.52%7.39quota equa
EV +8.19%
Vantaggio +1.02%
Kelly +1.17%
Crescita +0.096%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.60%13.51%13.53%15.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.037.008.0016.67%14.23%14.29%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.69%4.83quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -0.365%
Kelly -0.463%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.52%20.70%20.70%23.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.514.504.7525.00%22.17%22.22%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:56
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 07:49
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:56
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:56
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +8.19%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:54
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:03
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:52
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -11.84%E -8.84%K -34.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 14:56
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -11.84%E -8.84%K -34.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +1.43%E +0.191%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 14:56
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.31I 13.68%NM 13.16%EV -1.14%E -0.156%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.95%E -0.269%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:55
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.54%EV -0.659%E -0.437%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.29%EV -2.36%E -0.326%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.17%EV -14.35%E -3.47%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 14:55
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 14:55
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.00%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:06
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 13:35
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:56
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -9.87%E -7.20%K -26.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.33%E -0.762%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -6.68%E -0.969%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -6.68%E -0.969%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.71%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.75%EV -9.39%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -10.06%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.19%EV -8.55%E -6.15%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -10.74%E -1.63%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -11.04%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 13:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -2.63%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -1.74%E -0.365%K -0.463%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:55
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -7.24%E -5.13%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:55
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 66.07%EV -13.82%E -10.55%K -44.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.32%EV -12.09%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.09%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -13.45%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -15.47%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -15.47%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.64%EV -7.94%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:55
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:55
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 65.57%EV -17.11%E -13.58%K -65.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.77%EV -18.86%E -3.14%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.66%EV -17.25%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%21.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.75%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55