Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkirk F.C. v Kilmarnock

2026-10-24 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prediction 51.14%1.96fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.25%51.09%51.18%51.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.821.831.8860.61%55.09%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kilmarnock (Visit)

Prediction 24.16%4.14fair odd
EV -0.948%
Edge -0.231%
Kelly -0.306%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.30%24.23%24.20%25.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.804.1028.57%26.05%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.70%4.05fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.302%
Kelly -0.402%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%24.68%24.63%25.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.723.704.0028.99%26.86%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 51.14%; Kilmarnock (Visit): 24.16%; Draw: 24.70%. For Kilmarnock (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -0.948%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -0.948%E -0.231%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -0.948%E -0.231%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 14:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.61%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.10%EV -4.81%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.29%EV -3.43%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:35
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:35
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 14:13
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 15:35
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 14:20
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:30
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:35
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -6.26%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.32%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 14:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 14:14
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:09
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 15:39
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 15:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.94%EV -8.45%E -4.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.97%E -5.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.61%EV -8.97%E -5.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -9.48%E -5.35%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -9.48%E -5.35%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.50%E -6.00%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.44%E -4.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 51.29%EV -15.61%E -9.46%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -15.44%E -4.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.53%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-17 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 49.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47%10.0%2026-10-17 18:10
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%13.1%2026-10-17 14:35