The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Falkirk F.C. v Kilmarnock

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:01 UTC

Final: Falkirk F.C. 3–0 Kilmarnock

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prediction 49.38%2.03fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.82%49.45%49.45%51.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.871.891.9856.82%53.43%52.91%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kilmarnock (Visit)

Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV +4.68%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.071%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.64%25.47%25.46%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.683.704.1030.77%27.15%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.09%3.99fair odd
EV -0.892%
Edge -0.226%
Kelly -0.302%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.07%25.08%25.09%26.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.703.703.9529.85%27.02%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 49.38%; Kilmarnock (Visit): 25.53%; Draw: 25.09%. For Kilmarnock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV +4.68%E +1.14%K +1.51%G +0.071%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV -0.892%E -0.226%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV +4.68%E +1.14%K +1.51%G +0.071%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV -0.892%E -0.226%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -10.13%E -5.57%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.426%E -0.109%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.66%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -10.13%E -5.57%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.426%E -0.109%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.66%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 13:50
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.00%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.60%EV -5.41%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.66%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 23:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 07:14
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 14:00
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 13:45
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -12.60%E -7.12%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -4.26%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -3.40%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.26%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 07:14
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.26%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.26%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -2.15%E -0.550%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 10:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -2.15%E -0.550%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 10:35
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -4.70%E -2.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.42%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -4.70%E -2.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.42%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 07:15
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 07:15
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 07:44
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -12.60%E -7.12%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.90%EV -13.10%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.90%EV -13.10%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.02%EV -8.16%E -4.39%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -4.66%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 10:34
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -1.90%E -0.485%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -4.70%E -2.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -4.70%E -2.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 13:54
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -4.70%E -2.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 13:54
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.93%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:44
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 10:35
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.20%E -2.71%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.20%E -2.71%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -12.60%E -7.12%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.93%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-24 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.07%EV -6.68%E -3.53%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.20%EV -9.62%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -4.70%E -2.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 13:45
Sky Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.66%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-23 14:17
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.91%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 06:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -11.92%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.82%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.69%EV -15.95%E -4.76%K -6.79%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-24 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-10-24 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-10-24 14:00
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-10-24 14:00
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-10-24 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-10-24 14:00
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.02%2.5%2026-10-24 14:00