Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkirk F.C. v Kilmarnock

2026-10-24 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Previsão 51.14%1.96odd justa
EV -3.85%
Vantagem -2.05%
Kelly -4.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.25%51.09%51.18%51.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.821.831.8860.61%55.09%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kilmarnock (Visitante)

Previsão 24.16%4.14odd justa
EV -0.948%
Vantagem -0.231%
Kelly -0.306%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.30%24.23%24.20%25.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.843.804.1028.57%26.05%26.32%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.70%4.05odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.302%
Kelly -0.402%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.52%24.68%24.63%25.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.723.704.0028.99%26.86%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 51.14%; Kilmarnock (Visitante): 24.16%; Empate: 24.70%. Para Kilmarnock (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.14. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.10, com valor esperado de -0.948%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -0.948%E -0.231%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -0.948%E -0.231%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 14:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.61%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.10%EV -4.81%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.29%EV -3.43%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:35
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:35
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 14:13
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 15:35
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 14:20
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:30
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:35
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -6.26%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.32%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 14:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 14:14
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:09
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 15:39
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 15:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.94%EV -8.45%E -4.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.97%E -5.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.61%EV -8.97%E -5.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -9.48%E -5.35%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -9.48%E -5.35%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.50%E -6.00%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.44%E -4.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 51.29%EV -15.61%E -9.46%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -15.44%E -4.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.53%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-17 14:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (2)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%6.9%2026-10-17 19:45
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%13.1%2026-10-17 14:35