StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Falkirk F.C. v Kilmarnock

2026-10-24 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Falkirk F.C. (Hemma)

Prognos 51.14%1.96rättvist odds
EV -3.85%
Fördel -2.05%
Kelly -4.38%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.88

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.25%51.09%51.18%51.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.651.821.831.8860.61%55.09%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Kilmarnock (Borta)

Prognos 24.16%4.14rättvist odds
EV -0.948%
Fördel -0.231%
Kelly -0.306%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.30%24.23%24.20%25.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.843.804.1028.57%26.05%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.70%4.05rättvist odds
EV -1.21%
Fördel -0.302%
Kelly -0.402%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.52%24.68%24.63%25.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.453.723.704.0028.99%26.86%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Falkirk F.C. (Hemma): 51.14%; Kilmarnock (Borta): 24.16%; Oavgjort: 24.70%. För Kilmarnock (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.14. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.10, med väntevärdet -0.948%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -0.948%E -0.231%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -0.948%E -0.231%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -6.99%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 14:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.61%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.10%EV -4.81%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.29%EV -3.43%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:35
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.36%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:35
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 14:13
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 15:35
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 14:20
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:30
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:35
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -6.26%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.32%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 14:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.43%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 14:14
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:09
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 15:39
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 15:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.94%EV -8.45%E -4.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.97%E -5.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.61%EV -8.97%E -5.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -9.48%E -5.35%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -9.48%E -5.35%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.50%E -6.00%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.44%E -4.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 51.29%EV -15.61%E -9.46%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -15.44%E -4.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.53%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-17 14:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (2)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%6.9%2026-10-17 19:45
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%13.1%2026-10-17 14:35