Language:English
Falkirk F.C. v Kilmarnock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Falkirk F.C. (Local)
Prediction 57.35%1.74fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.21%57.29%57.35%58.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.641.651.7268.49%60.98%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kilmarnock (Visit)
Prediction 19.16%5.22fair odd
EV +0.591%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.139%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.79%19.13%19.14%20.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.794.755.2522.73%20.88%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.48%4.26fair odd
EV +0.985%
Edge +0.229%
Kelly +0.299%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.34%23.58%23.51%25.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.903.904.3028.57%25.65%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 57.35%; Kilmarnock (Visit): 19.16%; Draw: 23.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.985%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV +0.985%E +0.229%K +0.299%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.02%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.72%EV -0.424%E -0.100%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -1.36%E -0.325%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.66%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.66%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -8.81%E -5.54%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.28%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.58%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -1.35%E -0.785%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -1.35%E -0.785%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.28%EV -13.39%E -8.87%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.66%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:52 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -14.28%E -3.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -14.28%E -3.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 57.18%EV -16.26%E -11.14%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 18.97%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.85%EV -17.80%E -5.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |