L’École des cotes

Falkirk F.C. v Kilmarnock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prévision 57.35%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.785%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.21%57.29%57.35%58.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.461.641.651.7268.49%60.98%60.61%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kilmarnock (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.16%5.22cote équitable
EV +0.591%
Avantage +0.113%
Kelly +0.139%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.79%19.13%19.14%20.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.794.755.2522.73%20.88%21.05%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.48%4.26cote équitable
EV +0.985%
Avantage +0.229%
Kelly +0.299%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.34%23.58%23.51%25.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.903.904.3028.57%25.65%25.64%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV +0.985%E +0.229%K +0.299%G +0.003%4.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.02%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.72%EV -0.424%E -0.100%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -1.36%E -0.325%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:55
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.66%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.66%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:55
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:56
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -8.81%E -5.54%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.28%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:55
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.58%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -1.35%E -0.785%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:55
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -1.35%E -0.785%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:56
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 14:55
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:56
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:56
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.28%EV -13.39%E -8.87%K -26.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.66%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-28 14:55
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:52
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -14.28%E -3.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 14:56
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -14.28%E -3.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 14:56
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.18%EV -16.26%E -11.14%K -35.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.97%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.85%EV -17.80%E -5.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-02-28 14:55