La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Falkirk F.C. v Kilmarnock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Falkirk F.C. (Local)
Predicción 57.35%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.785%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.21%57.29%57.35%58.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.461.641.651.7268.49%60.98%60.61%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kilmarnock (Visitante)
Predicción 19.16%5.22momio equitativo
EV +0.591%
Ventaja +0.113%
Kelly +0.139%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.79%19.13%19.14%20.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.794.755.2522.73%20.88%21.05%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.48%4.26momio equitativo
EV +0.985%
Ventaja +0.229%
Kelly +0.299%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.34%23.58%23.51%25.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.903.904.3028.57%25.65%25.64%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV +0.985%E +0.229%K +0.299%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.02%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.72%EV -0.424%E -0.100%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -1.36%E -0.325%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.66%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.66%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -8.81%E -5.54%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.28%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.58%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -1.35%E -0.785%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -1.35%E -0.785%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.28%EV -13.39%E -8.87%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.66%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:52 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -14.28%E -3.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -14.28%E -3.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:56 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 57.18%EV -16.26%E -11.14%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 18.97%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.85%EV -17.80%E -5.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |