A Escola das Odds

Falkirk F.C. v Kilmarnock

Início: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Previsão 57.35%1.74odd justa
EV -1.35%
Vantagem -0.785%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.21%57.29%57.35%58.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.461.641.651.7268.49%60.98%60.61%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kilmarnock (Visitante)

Previsão 19.16%5.22odd justa
EV +0.591%
Vantagem +0.113%
Kelly +0.139%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.79%19.13%19.14%20.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.404.794.755.2522.73%20.88%21.05%19.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.48%4.26odd justa
EV +0.985%
Vantagem +0.229%
Kelly +0.299%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.34%23.58%23.51%25.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.903.904.3028.57%25.65%25.64%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV +0.985%E +0.229%K +0.299%G +0.003%4.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.02%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.72%EV -0.424%E -0.100%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -1.36%E -0.325%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:55
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.66%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.66%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:55
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.71%E -0.905%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:56
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -8.81%E -5.54%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.28%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:55
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.41%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.58%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -1.35%E -0.785%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:55
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -1.35%E -0.785%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:56
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.09%E -4.37%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +0.591%E +0.113%K +0.139%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 14:55
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.76%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:56
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:56
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:55
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.28%EV -13.39%E -8.87%K -26.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.66%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-28 14:55
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:52
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -9.95%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -13.11%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -14.28%E -3.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 14:56
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -14.28%E -3.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 14:56
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.18%EV -16.26%E -11.14%K -35.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.97%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.85%EV -17.80%E -5.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-02-28 14:55