Language:English
Falkirk F.C. v Hibernian
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Falkirk F.C. (Local)
Prediction 45.18%2.21fair odd
EV -0.606%
Edge -0.276%
Kelly -0.505%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.96%45.18%45.23%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.092.082.2052.36%47.90%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hibernian (Visit)
Prediction 27.35%3.66fair odd
EV -0.716%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.272%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.43%27.41%27.37%29.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.333.403.6332.79%30.02%29.41%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.47%3.64fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.426%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.99%27.41%27.40%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.42%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 45.18%; Hibernian (Visit): 27.35%; Draw: 27.47%. For Falkirk F.C. (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.606%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -0.606%E -0.276%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -0.606%E -0.276%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -3.32%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -15.21%E -4.91%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.44%EV -3.77%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -0.716%E -0.197%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -4.68%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -16.58%E -5.44%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -16.58%E -5.44%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -16.58%E -5.44%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.11%E -0.308%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.11%E -0.308%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.93%E -3.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -6.46%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.11%E -0.308%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.90%E -6.10%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.39%EV -13.71%E -7.18%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.52%EV -13.47%E -4.28%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |