La scuola delle quote

Falkirk F.C. v Hibernian

Inizio: 2026-05-09 14:02 UTC

Finale: Falkirk F.C. 1–3 Hibernian

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Casa)

Previsione 45.18%2.21quota equa
EV -0.606%
Vantaggio -0.276%
Kelly -0.505%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.96%45.18%45.23%46.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.092.082.2052.36%47.90%48.08%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hibernian (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.35%3.66quota equa
EV -0.716%
Vantaggio -0.197%
Kelly -0.272%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.43%27.41%27.37%29.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.333.403.6332.79%30.02%29.41%27.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.47%3.64quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.308%
Kelly -0.426%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.99%27.41%27.40%28.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.42%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -0.606%E -0.276%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -0.606%E -0.276%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:00
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:00
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -3.32%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -15.21%E -4.91%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.44%EV -3.77%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -0.716%E -0.197%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -4.68%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 13:59
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -16.58%E -5.44%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -16.58%E -5.44%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -16.58%E -5.44%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.11%E -0.308%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:59
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.11%E -0.308%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 13:59
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:00
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.93%E -3.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -6.46%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.11%E -0.308%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:58
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:59
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:58
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:56
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:59
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.90%E -6.10%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.39%EV -13.71%E -7.18%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.52%EV -13.47%E -4.28%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-05-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-05-09 14:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-05-09 13:59
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%2.1%2026-05-09 14:00