L’École des cotes

Falkirk F.C. v Hibernian

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:02 UTC

Score final : Falkirk F.C. 1–3 Hibernian

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prévision 45.18%2.21cote équitable
EV -0.606%
Avantage -0.276%
Kelly -0.505%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.96%45.18%45.23%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.092.082.2052.36%47.90%48.08%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hibernian (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.35%3.66cote équitable
EV -0.716%
Avantage -0.197%
Kelly -0.272%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.43%27.41%27.37%29.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.333.403.6332.79%30.02%29.41%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.47%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.308%
Kelly -0.426%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.99%27.41%27.40%28.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.42%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -0.606%E -0.276%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -0.606%E -0.276%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.51%E -0.693%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:00
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:00
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -3.32%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -15.21%E -4.91%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.44%EV -3.77%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -0.716%E -0.197%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -4.68%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 13:59
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -16.58%E -5.44%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -16.58%E -5.44%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -4.22%E -1.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -16.58%E -5.44%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.11%E -0.308%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:59
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.11%E -0.308%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 13:59
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.12%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:00
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.93%E -3.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -6.46%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.11%E -0.308%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:58
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:59
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:58
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:56
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.38%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:59
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.90%E -6.10%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.39%EV -13.71%E -7.18%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.52%EV -13.47%E -4.28%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-05-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-05-09 14:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-05-09 13:59
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%2.1%2026-05-09 14:00