Language:English
Dundee United v Livingston
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundee United (Local)
Prediction 55.25%1.81fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.22%55.38%55.24%56.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.671.681.7464.52%59.71%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Livingston (Visit)
Prediction 21.59%4.63fair odd
EV +2.57%
Edge +0.540%
Kelly +0.684%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%21.46%21.62%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.414.454.7525.00%22.66%22.47%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.16%4.32fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.427%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%23.16%23.15%23.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.004.004.2426.67%24.97%25.00%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee United (Local): 55.25%; Livingston (Visit): 21.59%; Draw: 23.16%. For Livingston (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV +2.57%E +0.540%K +0.684%G +0.018% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.09%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.80%EV -0.457%E -0.099%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -3.89%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -9.94%E -6.10%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.51%EV -3.87%E -2.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV -3.91%E -0.879%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV -1.81%E -0.427%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.25%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -3.91%E -0.879%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.38%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.99%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -4.42%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.15%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -4.42%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.68%EV -10.39%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 18:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -14.36%E -9.27%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -13.16%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.14% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-05-12 18:46 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |