La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dundee United v Livingston
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundee United (Local)
Predicción 55.25%1.81momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -5.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.22%55.38%55.24%56.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.671.681.7464.52%59.71%59.52%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Livingston (Visitante)
Predicción 21.59%4.63momio equitativo
EV +2.57%
Ventaja +0.540%
Kelly +0.684%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.87%21.46%21.62%22.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.414.454.7525.00%22.66%22.47%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.16%4.32momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -0.427%
Kelly -0.558%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%23.16%23.15%23.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.004.004.2426.67%24.97%25.00%23.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV +2.57%E +0.540%K +0.684%G +0.018% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.09%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.80%EV -0.457%E -0.099%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -3.89%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -9.94%E -6.10%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:46 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.51%EV -3.87%E -2.22%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV -3.91%E -0.879%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV -1.81%E -0.427%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.25%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -3.91%E -0.879%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.38%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.99%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -4.42%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:46 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.15%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -4.42%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.68%EV -10.39%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 18:43 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -14.36%E -9.27%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -13.16%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.14% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-05-12 18:46 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |