L’École des cotes

Dundee United v Livingston

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 18:49 UTC

Score final : Dundee United 0–0 Livingston

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundee United (Local)

Prévision 55.25%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -5.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.22%55.38%55.24%56.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.671.681.7464.52%59.71%59.52%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Livingston (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.59%4.63cote équitable
EV +2.57%
Avantage +0.540%
Kelly +0.684%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.87%21.46%21.62%22.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.414.454.7525.00%22.66%22.47%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.16%4.32cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.427%
Kelly -0.558%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%23.16%23.15%23.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.004.004.2426.67%24.97%25.00%23.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV +2.57%E +0.540%K +0.684%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 18:44
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:45
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:45
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:45
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +1.49%E +0.316%K +0.402%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:45
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.09%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.80%EV -0.457%E -0.099%K -0.127%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -3.89%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 18:44
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 18:44
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 18:44
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:45
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:45
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:45
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:45
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -9.94%E -6.10%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:45
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 18:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:44
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:46
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:44
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:45
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:45
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:45
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.51%EV -3.87%E -2.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV -3.91%E -0.879%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV -1.81%E -0.427%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-12 18:44
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.25%EV -8.29%E -4.99%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -3.91%E -0.879%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:44
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.38%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.99%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 18:44
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -4.42%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 18:45
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:44
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:45
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:46
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.15%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.74%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:45
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:45
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:45
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -4.42%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:45
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 18:44
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:45
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:45
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:44
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:44
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:44
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:44
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.68%EV -10.39%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -8.53%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 18:43
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 18:44
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -14.36%E -9.27%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -13.16%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-12 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-05-12 18:45
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-05-12 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-05-12 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-05-12 18:45
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-05-12 18:46
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 54.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%8.1%2026-05-12 18:45