Language:English
Celtic v Motherwell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Celtic (Local)
Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -5.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.75%56.09%55.89%57.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.651.671.7167.57%60.47%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motherwell (Visit)
Prediction 20.68%4.84fair odd
EV +5.24%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 5.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.87%20.68%20.85%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.564.605.0924.39%21.94%21.74%19.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.30%4.29fair odd
EV +2.50%
Edge +0.569%
Kelly +0.736%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%23.23%23.26%24.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.963.954.4028.57%25.22%25.32%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celtic (Local): 56.03%; Motherwell (Visit): 20.68%; Draw: 23.30%. For Motherwell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.87%EV +5.24%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.60%EV -5.18%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.31%E +0.268%K +0.336%G +0.004% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.29%EV -3.55%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.49%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.99%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.99%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -10.47%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -12.13%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +2.50%E +0.569%K +0.736%G +0.018% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -12.13%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +2.50%E +0.569%K +0.736%G +0.018% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.93%EV -13.16%E -8.49%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.43%EV -13.80%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.05%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -15.23%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 56.06%EV -17.08%E -11.54%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.24%EV -15.23%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.70%EV -18.46%E -5.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 0.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |