La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Celtic v Motherwell
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Celtic (Local)
Predicción 56.03%1.78momio equitativo
EV -4.19%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -5.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.75%56.09%55.89%57.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.651.671.7167.57%60.47%59.88%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Motherwell (Visitante)
Predicción 20.68%4.84momio equitativo
EV +5.24%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.067%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.87%20.68%20.85%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.564.605.0924.39%21.94%21.74%19.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.30%4.29momio equitativo
EV +2.50%
Ventaja +0.569%
Kelly +0.736%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.70%23.23%23.26%24.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.963.954.4028.57%25.22%25.32%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.87%EV +5.24%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.60%EV -5.18%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.31%E +0.268%K +0.336%G +0.004% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.29%EV -3.55%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.49%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.99%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.99%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -10.47%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -12.13%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +2.50%E +0.569%K +0.736%G +0.018% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -12.13%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +2.50%E +0.569%K +0.736%G +0.018% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.93%EV -13.16%E -8.49%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.43%EV -13.80%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.05%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -15.23%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 56.06%EV -17.08%E -11.54%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.24%EV -15.23%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.70%EV -18.46%E -5.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 0.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |