مدرسة الاحتمالات

Celtic v Motherwell

البداية: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Celtic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.03%1.78السعر العادل
EV -4.19%
الأفضلية -2.45%
Kelly -5.90%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.75%56.09%55.89%57.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.651.671.7167.57%60.47%59.88%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Motherwell (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.68%4.84السعر العادل
EV +5.24%
الأفضلية +1.03%
Kelly +1.28%
النمو +0.067%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.87%20.68%20.85%22.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.104.564.605.0924.39%21.94%21.74%19.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.30%4.29السعر العادل
EV +2.50%
الأفضلية +0.569%
Kelly +0.736%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.70%23.23%23.26%24.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.963.954.4028.57%25.22%25.32%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.87%EV +5.24%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.60%EV -5.18%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.31%E +0.268%K +0.336%G +0.004%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.29%EV -3.55%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 14:45
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:55
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:40
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:40
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:40
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.49%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:44
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:55
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:54
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:55
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:35
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:45
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.99%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.99%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:34
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:45
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -10.47%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:44
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -12.13%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +2.50%E +0.569%K +0.736%G +0.018%4.7%2026-03-14 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -12.13%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +2.50%E +0.569%K +0.736%G +0.018%4.7%2026-03-14 14:45
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 14:35
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.93%EV -13.16%E -8.49%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.43%EV -13.80%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-14 14:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.05%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -15.23%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 14:45
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.06%EV -17.08%E -11.54%K -35.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.24%EV -15.23%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.70%EV -18.46%E -5.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-14 14:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%2.2%2026-03-14 14:45