La scuola delle quote

Celtic v Motherwell

Inizio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Celtic (Casa)

Previsione 56.03%1.78quota equa
EV -4.19%
Vantaggio -2.45%
Kelly -5.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.75%56.09%55.89%57.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.651.671.7167.57%60.47%59.88%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Motherwell (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.68%4.84quota equa
EV +5.24%
Vantaggio +1.03%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.067%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.87%20.68%20.85%22.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.564.605.0924.39%21.94%21.74%19.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.30%4.29quota equa
EV +2.50%
Vantaggio +0.569%
Kelly +0.736%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.70%23.23%23.26%24.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.963.954.4028.57%25.22%25.32%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.87%EV +5.24%E +1.03%K +1.28%G +0.067%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.60%EV -5.18%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.31%E +0.268%K +0.336%G +0.004%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.29%EV -3.55%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 14:45
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -0.757%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:55
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.79%E -0.377%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:40
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:40
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:40
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.49%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.82%E -0.601%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:44
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:55
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:54
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -8.67%E -5.32%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.15%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:55
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:35
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.89%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:45
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.96%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.99%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.99%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:34
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.03%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:45
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -10.47%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.16%E -0.513%K -0.674%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:44
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -12.13%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +2.50%E +0.569%K +0.736%G +0.018%4.7%2026-03-14 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -12.13%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV +2.50%E +0.569%K +0.736%G +0.018%4.7%2026-03-14 14:45
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 14:35
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.93%EV -13.16%E -8.49%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -13.16%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.43%EV -13.80%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-14 14:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.05%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -15.23%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 14:45
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.06%EV -17.08%E -11.54%K -35.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.24%EV -15.23%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.70%EV -18.46%E -5.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-14 14:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%2.2%2026-03-14 14:45