The School of Odds
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Celtic v Kilmarnock

2026-11-08 16:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celtic (Local)

Prediction 79.93%1.25fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -20.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.99%79.86%79.85%82.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.161.161.2091.74%86.26%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kilmarnock (Visit)

Prediction 7.85%12.74fair odd
EV +33.49%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +2.09%
Growth +0.701%

assuming max odds 17.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.70%7.87%7.82%9.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.3012.6513.0017.0010.75%7.91%7.69%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.22%8.19fair odd
EV +3.85%
Edge +0.453%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.41%12.27%12.33%14.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.527.508.5016.67%13.30%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Celtic (Local): 79.93%; Kilmarnock (Visit): 7.85%; Draw: 12.22%. For Kilmarnock (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.74. 25 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 17.00, producing a positive expected value of +33.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +33.49%E +1.97%K +2.09%G +0.701%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +3.85%E +0.453%K +0.513%G +0.020%3.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +33.49%E +1.97%K +2.09%G +0.701%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +3.85%E +0.453%K +0.513%G +0.020%3.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +17.79%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.226%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +17.79%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.226%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -4.88%E -4.10%K -25.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.86%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.40%EV -5.32%E -0.686%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 16:30
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.00%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +6.01%E +0.445%K +0.481%G +0.029%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -5.93%E -0.770%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.00%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +6.01%E +0.445%K +0.481%G +0.029%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -5.93%E -0.770%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 16:14
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 16:31
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.85%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -5.32%E -0.686%K -0.788%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.50%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:35
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 13:34
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -20.59%E -3.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 16:31
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.29%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -9.70%E -0.843%K -0.924%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.47%EV +0.915%E +0.111%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-11-01 14:25
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:24
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.11%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.67%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.01%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.69%EV -4.71%E -0.603%K -0.692%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -11.42%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -11.42%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:24
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -21.48%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -21.48%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 76.99%EV -12.88%E -11.81%K -143.07%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.02%EV -26.97%E -2.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.99%EV -26.70%E -4.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%19.2%2026-11-01 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%2.0%2026-11-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%4.9%2026-11-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%4.9%2026-11-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%6.7%2026-11-01 19:25
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 78.64%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%6.9%2026-11-01 19:25