Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Celtic v Kilmarnock

2026-11-08 16:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Celtic (Local)

Prévision 79.93%1.25cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -3.40%
Kelly -20.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.99%79.86%79.85%82.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.091.161.161.2091.74%86.26%86.21%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kilmarnock (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.85%12.74cote équitable
EV +33.49%
Avantage +1.97%
Kelly +2.09%
Croissance +0.701%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.70%7.87%7.82%9.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.3012.6513.0017.0010.75%7.91%7.69%5.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 12.22%8.19cote équitable
EV +3.85%
Avantage +0.453%
Kelly +0.513%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.41%12.27%12.33%14.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.527.508.5016.67%13.30%13.33%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Celtic (Local) : 79.93% ; Kilmarnock (Visiteur) : 7.85% ; Match nul : 12.22%. Pour Kilmarnock (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 12.74. 25 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 17.00, pour une espérance positive de +33.49%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +33.49%E +1.97%K +2.09%G +0.701%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +3.85%E +0.453%K +0.513%G +0.020%3.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +33.49%E +1.97%K +2.09%G +0.701%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +3.85%E +0.453%K +0.513%G +0.020%3.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +17.79%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.226%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +17.79%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.226%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -4.88%E -4.10%K -25.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.86%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.40%EV -5.32%E -0.686%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 16:30
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.00%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +6.01%E +0.445%K +0.481%G +0.029%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -5.93%E -0.770%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.00%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +6.01%E +0.445%K +0.481%G +0.029%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -5.93%E -0.770%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 16:14
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 16:31
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.85%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -5.32%E -0.686%K -0.788%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.50%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:35
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 13:34
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -20.59%E -3.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 16:31
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.29%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -9.70%E -0.843%K -0.924%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.47%EV +0.915%E +0.111%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-11-01 14:25
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:24
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.11%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.67%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.01%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.69%EV -4.71%E -0.603%K -0.692%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -11.42%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -11.42%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:24
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -21.48%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -21.48%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 76.99%EV -12.88%E -11.81%K -143.07%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.02%EV -26.97%E -2.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.99%EV -26.70%E -4.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%19.2%2026-11-01 16:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%2.0%2026-11-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 79.65%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.66%4.6%2026-11-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 79.65%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.66%4.6%2026-11-01 20:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%6.3%2026-11-01 20:25
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 79.00%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.05%6.4%2026-11-01 20:25