StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Celtic v Kilmarnock

2026-11-08 16:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Celtic (Heim)

Prognose 79.93%1.25faire Quote
EV -4.08%
Vorteil -3.40%
Kelly -20.42%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
76.99%79.86%79.85%82.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.091.161.161.2091.74%86.26%86.21%83.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Kilmarnock (Auswärts)

Prognose 7.85%12.74faire Quote
EV +33.49%
Vorteil +1.97%
Kelly +2.09%
Wachstum +0.701%

bei einer Höchstquote von 17.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
5.70%7.87%7.82%9.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
9.3012.6513.0017.0010.75%7.91%7.69%5.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 12.22%8.19faire Quote
EV +3.85%
Vorteil +0.453%
Kelly +0.513%
Wachstum +0.020%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.41%12.27%12.33%14.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.007.527.508.5016.67%13.30%13.33%11.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Celtic (Heim): 79.93%; Kilmarnock (Auswärts): 7.85%; Unentschieden: 12.22%. Für Kilmarnock (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 12.74. 25 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 17.00 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +33.49%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +33.49%E +1.97%K +2.09%G +0.701%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +3.85%E +0.453%K +0.513%G +0.020%3.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +33.49%E +1.97%K +2.09%G +0.701%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +3.85%E +0.453%K +0.513%G +0.020%3.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +17.79%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.226%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +17.79%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.226%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -4.88%E -4.10%K -25.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.86%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.40%EV -5.32%E -0.686%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 16:30
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.00%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +6.01%E +0.445%K +0.481%G +0.029%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -5.93%E -0.770%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.00%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +6.01%E +0.445%K +0.481%G +0.029%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -5.93%E -0.770%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 16:14
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 16:31
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.85%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -5.32%E -0.686%K -0.788%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.50%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:35
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 13:34
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -20.59%E -3.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 16:31
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.29%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -9.70%E -0.843%K -0.924%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.47%EV +0.915%E +0.111%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-11-01 14:25
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:24
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.11%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.67%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.01%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.69%EV -4.71%E -0.603%K -0.692%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -11.42%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -11.42%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:24
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -21.48%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -21.48%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 76.99%EV -12.88%E -11.81%K -143.07%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.02%EV -26.97%E -2.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.99%EV -26.70%E -4.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%19.2%2026-11-01 16:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%2.0%2026-11-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 79.65%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.66%4.6%2026-11-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 79.65%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.66%4.6%2026-11-01 20:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%6.3%2026-11-01 20:25
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 79.00%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.05%6.4%2026-11-01 20:25