StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Celtic v Kilmarnock

2026-11-08 16:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Celtic (Hemma)

Prognos 79.93%1.25rättvist odds
EV -4.08%
Fördel -3.40%
Kelly -20.42%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.99%79.86%79.85%82.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.091.161.161.2091.74%86.26%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Kilmarnock (Borta)

Prognos 7.85%12.74rättvist odds
EV +33.49%
Fördel +1.97%
Kelly +2.09%
Tillväxt +0.701%

med antagandet om högsta odds 17.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
5.70%7.87%7.82%9.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.3012.6513.0017.0010.75%7.91%7.69%5.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 12.22%8.19rättvist odds
EV +3.85%
Fördel +0.453%
Kelly +0.513%
Tillväxt +0.020%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.41%12.27%12.33%14.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.007.527.508.5016.67%13.30%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Celtic (Hemma): 79.93%; Kilmarnock (Borta): 7.85%; Oavgjort: 12.22%. För Kilmarnock (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 12.74. 25 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 17.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +33.49%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +33.49%E +1.97%K +2.09%G +0.701%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +3.85%E +0.453%K +0.513%G +0.020%3.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +33.49%E +1.97%K +2.09%G +0.701%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +3.85%E +0.453%K +0.513%G +0.020%3.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +17.79%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.226%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +17.79%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.226%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -4.88%E -4.10%K -25.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.86%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.40%EV -5.32%E -0.686%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 16:30
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +9.93%E +0.710%K +0.764%G +0.076%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 16:15
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.00%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +6.01%E +0.445%K +0.481%G +0.029%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -5.93%E -0.770%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.00%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +6.01%E +0.445%K +0.481%G +0.029%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -5.93%E -0.770%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 16:14
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 16:31
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.85%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -5.32%E -0.686%K -0.788%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +2.08%E +0.160%K +0.173%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.50%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:35
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -1.85%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 13:34
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -5.77%E -0.481%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -20.59%E -3.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 16:31
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.29%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.57%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -9.70%E -0.843%K -0.924%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.47%EV +0.915%E +0.111%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-11-01 14:25
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:24
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.11%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.67%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.01%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -13.62%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.69%EV -4.71%E -0.603%K -0.692%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.37%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -11.42%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -4.08%E -3.40%K -20.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -17.55%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -11.42%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:24
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -21.48%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -2.26%E -0.283%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -21.48%E -2.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -14.48%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 76.99%EV -12.88%E -11.81%K -143.07%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.02%EV -26.97%E -2.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.99%EV -26.70%E -4.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%19.2%2026-11-01 16:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%2.0%2026-11-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 79.65%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.66%4.6%2026-11-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 79.65%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.66%4.6%2026-11-01 20:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%6.3%2026-11-01 20:25
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 79.00%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.05%6.4%2026-11-01 20:25