Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celtic v Dundee FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-03 18:30 UTC

Final: Celtic 1–0 Dundee FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celtic (Local)

Prediction 82.66%1.21fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -13.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.68%82.51%82.60%84.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.141.141.1893.46%87.55%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundee FC (Visit)

Prediction 6.17%16.22fair odd
EV +14.07%
Edge +0.761%
Kelly +0.804%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 18.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.03%6.23%6.26%8.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5014.5514.0018.508.70%6.87%7.14%5.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.18%8.95fair odd
EV +11.77%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.154%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.40%11.25%11.14%13.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.108.1310.0014.29%12.35%12.31%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celtic (Local): 82.66%; Dundee FC (Visit): 6.17%; Draw: 11.18%. For Dundee FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.22. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.72%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -75.01%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -1.34%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV +11.77%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.154%6.3%2026-08-03 18:25
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.62%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.55%EV -21.69%E -1.71%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.83%EV +8.98%E +0.921%K +1.03%G +0.092%4.3%2026-08-03 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.05%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.66I 6.00%NM 5.75%EV +2.73%E +0.164%K +0.174%G +0.005%9.39I 10.65%NM 10.20%EV +4.96%E +0.528%K +0.591%G +0.029%4.4%2026-08-03 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.82%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.35I 6.12%NM 5.84%EV +0.817%E +0.050%K +0.053%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.33%EV +3.39%E +0.367%K +0.411%G +0.014%4.6%2026-08-03 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.82%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.35I 6.12%NM 5.84%EV +0.817%E +0.050%K +0.053%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.33%EV +3.39%E +0.367%K +0.411%G +0.014%4.6%2026-08-03 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.27%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +0.597%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:59
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +0.597%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.90%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +0.597%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 18:25
BetUS🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.43%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%14.40I 6.94%NM 6.64%EV -11.21%E -0.778%K -0.836%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV -2.20%E -0.251%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.54%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.59%EV +3.28%E +0.196%K +0.208%G +0.007%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -3.87%E -0.450%K -0.510%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 18:25
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -26.01%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:29
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.51%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -26.01%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.75%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +10.99%E +0.611%K +0.647%G +0.071%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:05
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 18:23
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -75.01%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.52%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.69%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -26.01%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.44%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.68%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV -1.34%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:25
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.41%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -29.09%E -2.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.41%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -29.09%E -2.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 17:45
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.84%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.11%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 82.72%EV -11.56%E -10.80%K -165.11%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.56%EV -16.76%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-03 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +10.99%E +0.611%K +0.647%G +0.071%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:25
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:55
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:24
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -75.01%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -1.34%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.07%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -15.05%E -1.98%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:29
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.39%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.03%EV +14.07%E +0.761%K +0.804%G +0.113%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -17.29%E -2.34%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.39%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.03%EV +14.07%E +0.761%K +0.804%G +0.113%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -17.29%E -2.34%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 18:10
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:19
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.28%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.18%0.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.28%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.18%0.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.28%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.18%0.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%0.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%21.98I 4.55%NM 4.52%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%2.2%2026-08-03 18:00

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