Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Celtic v Dundee FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-03 18:30 UTC

Score final : Celtic 1–0 Dundee FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Celtic (Local)

Prévision 82.66%1.21cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -13.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.68%82.51%82.60%84.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.071.141.141.1893.46%87.55%87.72%84.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dundee FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.17%16.22cote équitable
EV +14.07%
Avantage +0.761%
Kelly +0.804%
Croissance +0.113%

avec la cote maximale 18.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.03%6.23%6.26%8.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
11.5014.5514.0018.508.70%6.87%7.14%5.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 11.18%8.95cote équitable
EV +11.77%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.154%

avec la cote maximale 10.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.40%11.25%11.14%13.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.108.1310.0014.29%12.35%12.31%10.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Celtic (Local) : 82.66% ; Dundee FC (Visiteur) : 6.17% ; Match nul : 11.18%. Pour Dundee FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 16.22. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 18.50, soit une espérance positive de +14.07%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.72%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -75.01%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -1.34%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV +11.77%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.154%6.3%2026-08-03 18:25
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.62%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.55%EV -21.69%E -1.71%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.83%EV +8.98%E +0.921%K +1.03%G +0.092%4.3%2026-08-03 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.05%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.66I 6.00%NM 5.75%EV +2.73%E +0.164%K +0.174%G +0.005%9.39I 10.65%NM 10.20%EV +4.96%E +0.528%K +0.591%G +0.029%4.4%2026-08-03 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.82%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.35I 6.12%NM 5.84%EV +0.817%E +0.050%K +0.053%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.33%EV +3.39%E +0.367%K +0.411%G +0.014%4.6%2026-08-03 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.82%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.35I 6.12%NM 5.84%EV +0.817%E +0.050%K +0.053%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.33%EV +3.39%E +0.367%K +0.411%G +0.014%4.6%2026-08-03 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.27%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +0.597%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:59
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +0.597%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.90%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +0.597%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 18:25
BetUS🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.43%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%14.40I 6.94%NM 6.64%EV -11.21%E -0.778%K -0.836%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV -2.20%E -0.251%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.54%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.59%EV +3.28%E +0.196%K +0.208%G +0.007%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -3.87%E -0.450%K -0.510%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 18:25
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -26.01%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:29
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.51%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -26.01%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.75%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +10.99%E +0.611%K +0.647%G +0.071%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:05
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 18:23
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -75.01%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.52%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.69%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -26.01%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.44%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.68%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV -1.34%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:25
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.41%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -29.09%E -2.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.41%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -29.09%E -2.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 17:45
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.84%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.11%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 82.72%EV -11.56%E -10.80%K -165.11%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.56%EV -16.76%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-03 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +10.99%E +0.611%K +0.647%G +0.071%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:25
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:55
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:24
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -75.01%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -1.34%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.07%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -15.05%E -1.98%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:29
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.39%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.03%EV +14.07%E +0.761%K +0.804%G +0.113%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -17.29%E -2.34%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.39%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.03%EV +14.07%E +0.761%K +0.804%G +0.113%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -17.29%E -2.34%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 18:10
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:19
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.28%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.18%0.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.28%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.18%0.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.28%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.18%0.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%0.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%21.98I 4.55%NM 4.52%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%2.2%2026-08-03 18:00