L’École des cotes

Celtic v Dundee FC

2026-08-03 18:30 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celtic (Local)

Prévision 77.75%1.29cote équitable
EV -5.14%
Avantage -4.22%
Kelly -23.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.45%77.68%77.45%79.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.191.191.2286.21%83.88%84.39%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundee FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.35%11.98cote équitable
EV +8.53%
Avantage +0.656%
Kelly +0.711%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.27%8.31%8.60%9.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.5010.8610.5013.0010.53%9.21%9.52%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.90%7.19cote équitable
EV +4.25%
Avantage +0.567%
Kelly +0.654%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.44%14.01%13.95%15.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.756.887.5017.39%14.82%14.55%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +8.53%E +0.656%K +0.711%G +0.061%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 13:45
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +8.53%E +0.656%K +0.711%G +0.061%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 06:59
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +8.53%E +0.656%K +0.711%G +0.061%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 06:59
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.36%E +0.349%K +0.379%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 12:05
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +4.36%E +0.349%K +0.379%G +0.017%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -17.99%E -3.05%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 04:19
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +4.36%E +0.349%K +0.379%G +0.017%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -17.99%E -3.05%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 04:20
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.06%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.62%EV +2.27%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 13:30
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.48%E -6.28%K -39.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +0.185%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -9.65%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 07:00
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.81%E -8.46%K -61.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +0.185%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 11:04
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 76.41%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV +0.185%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -20.07%E -3.49%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:34
betano_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.185%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.65%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:03
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.185%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.65%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:03
1xBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.74%EV -7.48%E -6.28%K -39.35%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 7.87%EV -0.650%E -0.055%K -0.060%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 13:35
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 78.95%EV -7.48%E -6.28%K -39.35%G +0.000%11.51I 8.69%NM 8.16%EV -3.91%E -0.339%K -0.372%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 12.89%EV +1.33%E +0.183%K +0.212%G +0.003%6.4%2026-07-22 11:04
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:31
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 04:20
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -12.34%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 05:54
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.34%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -9.65%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -7.48%E -6.28%K -39.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -12.34%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -9.65%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 11:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -12.34%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.58%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 11:00
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 04:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.60%E -2.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:29
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.60%E -2.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:29
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.60%E -2.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:29
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.60%E -2.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:29
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:29
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:29
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:29
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:30
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 11:04
Codere (IT)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.63%EV -7.48%E -6.28%K -39.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -11.04%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 11:19
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -16.60%E -2.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-23 13:00
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.98%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -20.69%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.98%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -20.69%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 23:29
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.98%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -20.69%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-16 17:30
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 76.42%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -20.69%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -11.04%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-23 11:19
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.83%EV -9.81%E -8.46%K -61.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -20.69%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.91%EV -17.99%E -3.05%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-23 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 77.42%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%9.5%2026-07-24 12:05