Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Celtic v Dundee FC

Início: 2026-08-03 18:30 UTC

Final: Celtic 1–0 Dundee FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Celtic (Local)

Previsão 82.66%1.21odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -2.09%
Kelly -13.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.68%82.51%82.60%84.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.071.141.141.1893.46%87.55%87.72%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dundee FC (Visitante)

Previsão 6.17%16.22odd justa
EV +14.07%
Vantagem +0.761%
Kelly +0.804%
Crescimento +0.113%

pressupondo odds máximas de 18.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.03%6.23%6.26%8.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
11.5014.5514.0018.508.70%6.87%7.14%5.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 11.18%8.95odd justa
EV +11.77%
Vantagem +1.18%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescimento +0.154%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.40%11.25%11.14%13.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.008.108.1310.0014.29%12.35%12.31%10.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Celtic (Local): 82.66%; Dundee FC (Visitante): 6.17%; Empate: 11.18%. Para Dundee FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 16.22. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 18.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +14.07%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.72%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -75.01%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -1.34%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV +11.77%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.154%6.3%2026-08-03 18:25
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.62%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.55%EV -21.69%E -1.71%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.83%EV +8.98%E +0.921%K +1.03%G +0.092%4.3%2026-08-03 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.05%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.66I 6.00%NM 5.75%EV +2.73%E +0.164%K +0.174%G +0.005%9.39I 10.65%NM 10.20%EV +4.96%E +0.528%K +0.591%G +0.029%4.4%2026-08-03 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.82%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.35I 6.12%NM 5.84%EV +0.817%E +0.050%K +0.053%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.33%EV +3.39%E +0.367%K +0.411%G +0.014%4.6%2026-08-03 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.82%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.35I 6.12%NM 5.84%EV +0.817%E +0.050%K +0.053%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.33%EV +3.39%E +0.367%K +0.411%G +0.014%4.6%2026-08-03 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.27%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +0.597%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:59
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +0.597%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.90%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +0.597%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 18:25
BetUS🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.43%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%14.40I 6.94%NM 6.64%EV -11.21%E -0.778%K -0.836%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV -2.20%E -0.251%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.54%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.59%EV +3.28%E +0.196%K +0.208%G +0.007%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -3.87%E -0.450%K -0.510%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 18:25
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -26.01%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:29
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.51%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -26.01%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.75%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +10.99%E +0.611%K +0.647%G +0.071%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:05
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 18:23
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -75.01%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.52%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -4.99%E -0.587%K -0.666%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.69%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -26.01%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.44%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.68%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV -1.34%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:25
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.41%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -29.09%E -2.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.41%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -29.09%E -2.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 17:45
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.84%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.11%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 82.72%EV -11.56%E -10.80%K -165.11%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.56%EV -16.76%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -7.79%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-03 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +10.99%E +0.611%K +0.647%G +0.071%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:25
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:55
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -7.51%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:24
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -8.25%E -7.43%K -75.01%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -1.34%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -10.58%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.07%EV -7.42%E -6.63%K -61.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -15.05%E -1.98%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -3.29%E -2.81%K -19.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -13.67%E -0.977%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -16.17%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 17:29
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.39%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.03%EV +14.07%E +0.761%K +0.804%G +0.113%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -17.29%E -2.34%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.39%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.76%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.03%EV +14.07%E +0.761%K +0.804%G +0.113%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -17.29%E -2.34%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 18:10
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:19
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.12%E -3.55%K -25.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -4.95%E -4.30%K -32.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -5.77%E -5.06%K -41.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -21.76%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.28%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.18%0.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.28%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.18%0.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.28%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.18%0.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%0.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%21.98I 4.55%NM 4.52%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%2.2%2026-08-03 18:00