La escuela de los momios

Celtic v Dundee FC

2026-08-03 18:30 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Celtic (Local)

Predicción 77.75%1.29momio equitativo
EV -5.14%
Ventaja -4.22%
Kelly -23.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.45%77.68%77.45%79.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.191.191.2286.21%83.88%84.39%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundee FC (Visitante)

Predicción 8.35%11.98momio equitativo
EV +8.53%
Ventaja +0.656%
Kelly +0.711%
Crecimiento +0.061%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.27%8.31%8.60%9.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.5010.8610.5013.0010.53%9.21%9.52%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 13.90%7.19momio equitativo
EV +4.25%
Ventaja +0.567%
Kelly +0.654%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.44%14.01%13.95%15.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.756.887.5017.39%14.82%14.55%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +8.53%E +0.656%K +0.711%G +0.061%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 13:45
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +8.53%E +0.656%K +0.711%G +0.061%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 06:59
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +8.53%E +0.656%K +0.711%G +0.061%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 06:59
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.36%E +0.349%K +0.379%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 12:05
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +4.36%E +0.349%K +0.379%G +0.017%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -17.99%E -3.05%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 04:19
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +4.36%E +0.349%K +0.379%G +0.017%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -17.99%E -3.05%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 04:20
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.06%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.62%EV +2.27%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 13:30
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.48%E -6.28%K -39.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +0.185%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -9.65%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 07:00
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.81%E -8.46%K -61.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +0.185%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 11:04
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 76.41%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV +0.185%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -20.07%E -3.49%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:34
betano_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.185%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.65%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:03
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.185%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.65%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:03
1xBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.74%EV -7.48%E -6.28%K -39.35%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 7.87%EV -0.650%E -0.055%K -0.060%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 13:35
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 78.95%EV -7.48%E -6.28%K -39.35%G +0.000%11.51I 8.69%NM 8.16%EV -3.91%E -0.339%K -0.372%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 12.89%EV +1.33%E +0.183%K +0.212%G +0.003%6.4%2026-07-22 11:04
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:31
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 04:20
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.25%E +0.567%K +0.654%G +0.028%7.2%2026-06-30 23:29
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -12.34%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 05:54
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.34%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -9.65%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -7.48%E -6.28%K -39.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -12.34%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -9.65%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 11:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -12.34%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.58%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 11:00
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 04:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.60%E -2.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:29
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.60%E -2.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:29
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.60%E -2.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:29
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.60%E -2.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:29
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:29
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:29
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:29
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:30
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.70%E -0.386%K -0.450%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 11:04
Codere (IT)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.63%EV -7.48%E -6.28%K -39.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -11.04%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 11:19
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -16.60%E -2.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-23 13:00
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.98%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -20.69%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.98%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -20.69%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 23:29
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.98%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -20.69%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -6.17%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-16 17:30
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 76.42%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -20.69%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -11.04%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-23 11:19
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.83%EV -9.81%E -8.46%K -61.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -20.69%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.91%EV -17.99%E -3.05%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-23 11:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 77.42%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%9.5%2026-07-24 12:05