The School of Odds
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Celtic v Aberdeen

2026-09-02 18:45 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celtic (Local)

Prediction 73.74%1.36fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -4.38%
Kelly -20.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.45%73.88%73.54%75.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2883.33%79.92%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aberdeen (Visit)

Prediction 10.03%9.97fair odd
EV +5.27%
Edge +0.502%
Kelly +0.555%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.93%9.98%10.21%11.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.808.948.5010.5012.82%11.18%11.76%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.23%6.16fair odd
EV +5.52%
Edge +0.849%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.055%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.60%16.13%16.25%17.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.725.756.5019.05%17.49%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Celtic (Local): 73.74%; Aberdeen (Visit): 10.03%; Draw: 16.23%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.16. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +5.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.261%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +5.52%E +0.849%K +1.00%G +0.055%5.4%2026-08-23 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.261%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +5.52%E +0.849%K +1.00%G +0.055%5.4%2026-08-23 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.261%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +1.46%E +0.234%K +0.278%G +0.004%6.0%2026-08-23 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.261%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +1.46%E +0.234%K +0.278%G +0.004%6.0%2026-08-23 18:55
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.90%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 9.88%EV -4.25%E -0.445%K -0.497%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV +0.649%E +0.105%K +0.125%G +0.001%6.0%2026-08-23 18:54
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.261%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -2.60%E -0.433%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -5.84%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -5.84%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:55
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:54
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:54
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.12%EV -9.30%E -7.56%K -40.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -19.79%E -2.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.04%EV -8.56%E -6.91%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.78%EV -15.78%E -1.88%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -9.09%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 18:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:54
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -8.56%E -6.91%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -8.56%E -6.91%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.55%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -19.79%E -2.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -12.34%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.55%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -19.79%E -2.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -12.34%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.45%EV -11.51%E -9.59%K -57.56%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.15%EV -21.80%E -2.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.40%EV -13.96%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 18:54
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +5.27%E +0.502%K +0.555%G +0.029%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -14.77%E -2.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 19:04
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +5.27%E +0.502%K +0.555%G +0.029%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -14.77%E -2.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%9.7%2026-08-23 18:55