StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Celtic v Aberdeen

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 18:46 UTC

Slutresultat: Celtic 3–0 Aberdeen

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Celtic (Hemma)

Prognos 76.11%1.31rättvist odds
EV -4.86%
Fördel -3.89%
Kelly -19.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.19%76.08%76.06%78.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.38%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Aberdeen (Borta)

Prognos 8.81%11.35rättvist odds
EV +10.33%
Fördel +0.825%
Kelly +0.897%
Tillväxt +0.093%

med antagandet om högsta odds 12.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.63%8.84%8.67%10.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.0010.7111.0012.5211.11%9.34%9.09%7.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 15.08%6.63rättvist odds
EV +5.09%
Fördel +0.731%
Kelly +0.853%
Tillväxt +0.043%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.97

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.82%15.09%15.27%16.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.506.276.336.9718.18%15.95%15.81%14.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Celtic (Hemma): 76.11%; Aberdeen (Borta): 8.81%; Oavgjort: 15.08%. För Aberdeen (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 11.35. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 12.52, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +10.33%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%12.52I 7.99%NM 7.63%EV +10.33%E +0.825%K +0.897%G +0.093%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.95%EV -9.68%E -1.62%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.77%E +0.263%K +0.309%G +0.005%6.5%2026-09-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.77%E +0.263%K +0.309%G +0.005%6.5%2026-09-02 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -10.19%E -8.64%K -56.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV +1.77%E +0.263%K +0.309%G +0.005%5.2%2026-09-02 18:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:18
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -13.30%E -2.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.46%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.08%EV -0.487%E -0.074%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 17:10
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -10.19%E -8.64%K -56.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -11.71%E -10.10%K -73.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -12.47%E -10.85%K -83.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -12.47%E -10.85%K -83.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.58%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.60%EV -5.27%E -0.490%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -17.07%E -3.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:38
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.09%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV -6.59%E -0.622%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.82%EV +5.09%E +0.731%K +0.853%G +0.043%3.8%2026-09-02 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.18%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -11.80%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.87%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -14.06%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:40
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.01%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.01%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:45
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 18:44
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -18.49%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -3.50%E -0.547%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -18.49%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -3.50%E -0.547%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.40%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.65%EV -18.49%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -15.56%E -2.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.93%EV -18.93%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.19%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -20.69%E -2.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -11.04%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%0.6%2026-09-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.25%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%1.0%2026-09-02 18:45
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.83%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.0%2026-09-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.41%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%1.2%2026-09-02 18:45
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.69%2.3%2026-09-02 18:45