Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Celtic v Aberdeen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 18:46 UTC

Score final : Celtic 3–0 Aberdeen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Celtic (Local)

Prévision 76.11%1.31cote équitable
EV -4.86%
Avantage -3.89%
Kelly -19.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.19%76.08%76.06%78.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.38%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aberdeen (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.81%11.35cote équitable
EV +10.33%
Avantage +0.825%
Kelly +0.897%
Croissance +0.093%

avec la cote maximale 12.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.63%8.84%8.67%10.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.7111.0012.5211.11%9.34%9.09%7.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.08%6.63cote équitable
EV +5.09%
Avantage +0.731%
Kelly +0.853%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 6.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.82%15.09%15.27%16.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.276.336.9718.18%15.95%15.81%14.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Celtic (Local) : 76.11% ; Aberdeen (Visiteur) : 8.81% ; Match nul : 15.08%. Pour Aberdeen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.35. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.52, soit une espérance positive de +10.33%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%12.52I 7.99%NM 7.63%EV +10.33%E +0.825%K +0.897%G +0.093%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.95%EV -9.68%E -1.62%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.77%E +0.263%K +0.309%G +0.005%6.5%2026-09-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.77%E +0.263%K +0.309%G +0.005%6.5%2026-09-02 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -10.19%E -8.64%K -56.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV +1.77%E +0.263%K +0.309%G +0.005%5.2%2026-09-02 18:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:18
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -13.30%E -2.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.46%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.08%EV -0.487%E -0.074%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 17:10
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -10.19%E -8.64%K -56.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -11.71%E -10.10%K -73.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -12.47%E -10.85%K -83.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -12.47%E -10.85%K -83.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.58%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.60%EV -5.27%E -0.490%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -17.07%E -3.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:38
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.09%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV -6.59%E -0.622%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.82%EV +5.09%E +0.731%K +0.853%G +0.043%3.8%2026-09-02 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.18%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -11.80%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.87%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -14.06%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:40
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.01%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.01%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:45
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 18:44
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -18.49%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -3.50%E -0.547%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -18.49%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -3.50%E -0.547%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.40%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.65%EV -18.49%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -15.56%E -2.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.93%EV -18.93%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.19%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -20.69%E -2.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -11.04%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%0.6%2026-09-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.25%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%1.0%2026-09-02 18:45
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.83%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.0%2026-09-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.41%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%1.2%2026-09-02 18:45
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.69%2.3%2026-09-02 18:45