Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Celtic v Aberdeen

Inizio: 2026-09-02 18:46 UTC

Finale: Celtic 3–0 Aberdeen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Celtic (Casa)

Previsione 76.11%1.31quota equa
EV -4.86%
Vantaggio -3.89%
Kelly -19.45%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.19%76.08%76.06%78.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.38%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Aberdeen (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.81%11.35quota equa
EV +10.33%
Vantaggio +0.825%
Kelly +0.897%
Crescita +0.093%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.63%8.84%8.67%10.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0010.7111.0012.5211.11%9.34%9.09%7.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 15.08%6.63quota equa
EV +5.09%
Vantaggio +0.731%
Kelly +0.853%
Crescita +0.043%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.82%15.09%15.27%16.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.276.336.9718.18%15.95%15.81%14.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Celtic (Casa): 76.11%; Aberdeen (Trasferta): 8.81%; Pareggio: 15.08%. Per Aberdeen (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 11.35. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 12.52, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +10.33%.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%12.52I 7.99%NM 7.63%EV +10.33%E +0.825%K +0.897%G +0.093%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.95%EV -9.68%E -1.62%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.77%E +0.263%K +0.309%G +0.005%6.5%2026-09-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +1.77%E +0.263%K +0.309%G +0.005%6.5%2026-09-02 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -10.19%E -8.64%K -56.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +5.75%E +0.479%K +0.522%G +0.030%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -9.43%E -7.92%K -49.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +1.34%E +0.117%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV +1.77%E +0.263%K +0.309%G +0.005%5.2%2026-09-02 18:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:18
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -13.30%E -2.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.46%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.08%EV -0.487%E -0.074%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 17:10
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -10.19%E -8.64%K -56.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -11.71%E -10.10%K -73.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -12.47%E -10.85%K -83.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -12.47%E -10.85%K -83.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -3.07%E -0.279%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.58%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.60%EV -5.27%E -0.490%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -17.07%E -3.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:38
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.09%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV -6.59%E -0.622%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.82%EV +5.09%E +0.731%K +0.853%G +0.043%3.8%2026-09-02 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.18%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -11.80%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.87%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -14.06%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:40
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.01%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -7.47%E -0.712%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.01%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -5.76%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:45
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.88%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.99%E -0.307%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -16.28%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 18:44
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -18.49%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -3.50%E -0.547%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -18.49%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -3.50%E -0.547%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.40%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.65%EV -18.49%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -15.56%E -2.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.93%EV -18.93%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.53%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.19%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -20.69%E -2.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -11.04%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%0.6%2026-09-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.25%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%1.0%2026-09-02 18:45
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.60%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.83%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.0%2026-09-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.41%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%1.2%2026-09-02 18:45
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.69%2.3%2026-09-02 18:45