Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Celtic v Aberdeen

2026-09-02 18:45 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Celtic (Casa)

Previsione 73.74%1.36quota equa
EV -5.61%
Vantaggio -4.38%
Kelly -20.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.45%73.88%73.54%75.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.251.251.2883.33%79.92%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Aberdeen (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.03%9.97quota equa
EV +5.27%
Vantaggio +0.502%
Kelly +0.555%
Crescita +0.029%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.93%9.98%10.21%11.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.808.948.5010.5012.82%11.18%11.76%9.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 16.23%6.16quota equa
EV +5.52%
Vantaggio +0.849%
Kelly +1.00%
Crescita +0.055%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.60%16.13%16.25%17.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.255.725.756.5019.05%17.49%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Celtic (Casa): 73.74%; Aberdeen (Trasferta): 10.03%; Pareggio: 16.23%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 6.16. 5 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 6.50, con un valore atteso positivo del +5.52%.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.261%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +5.52%E +0.849%K +1.00%G +0.055%5.4%2026-08-23 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.261%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +5.52%E +0.849%K +1.00%G +0.055%5.4%2026-08-23 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.261%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +1.46%E +0.234%K +0.278%G +0.004%6.0%2026-08-23 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.261%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +1.46%E +0.234%K +0.278%G +0.004%6.0%2026-08-23 18:55
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.90%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 9.88%EV -4.25%E -0.445%K -0.497%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV +0.649%E +0.105%K +0.125%G +0.001%6.0%2026-08-23 18:54
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.261%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -2.60%E -0.433%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -5.84%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -6.35%E -5.00%K -23.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -5.84%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:55
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:54
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:54
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.09%E -5.62%K -27.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.12%EV -9.30%E -7.56%K -40.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -19.79%E -2.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.04%EV -8.56%E -6.91%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.78%EV -15.78%E -1.88%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -9.09%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 18:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:54
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.77%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -8.56%E -6.91%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -8.56%E -6.91%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -14.78%E -1.74%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.55%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -19.79%E -2.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -12.34%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.55%EV -10.04%E -8.23%K -45.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -19.79%E -2.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -12.34%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.45%EV -11.51%E -9.59%K -57.56%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.15%EV -21.80%E -2.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.40%EV -13.96%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 18:54
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +5.27%E +0.502%K +0.555%G +0.029%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -14.77%E -2.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 19:04
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +5.27%E +0.502%K +0.555%G +0.029%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -14.77%E -2.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 19:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%9.7%2026-08-23 18:55