Language:English
Aberdeen v St Mirren
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aberdeen (Local)
Prediction 41.97%2.38fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.46%42.03%41.94%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.192.202.3048.31%45.67%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Mirren (Visit)
Prediction 30.24%3.31fair odd
EV +3.71%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 3.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%30.18%30.24%31.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.123.103.4334.84%32.08%32.26%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%27.80%27.82%28.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.5032.26%29.75%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aberdeen (Local): 41.97%; St Mirren (Visit): 30.24%; Draw: 27.79%. For St Mirren (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.25%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.00%EV +3.71%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.057% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -8.50%E -3.90%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -1.73%E -0.532%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -8.50%E -3.90%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -1.73%E -0.532%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -3.46%E -1.50%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.14%EV -2.94%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -3.29%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 18:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -7.18%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -11.02%E -5.20%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 18:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 06:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 12:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.80%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.86%EV -13.11%E -6.34%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.19%EV -13.22%E -4.61%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.95%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |