La scuola delle quote

Aberdeen v St Mirren

Inizio: 2026-05-12 18:45 UTC

Finale: Aberdeen 0–2 St Mirren

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aberdeen (Casa)

Previsione 41.97%2.38quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -1.50%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.46%42.03%41.94%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.192.202.3048.31%45.67%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

St Mirren (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.24%3.31quota equa
EV +3.71%
Vantaggio +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescita +0.057%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.00%30.18%30.24%31.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.873.123.103.4334.84%32.08%32.26%29.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.79%3.60quota equa
EV -2.74%
Vantaggio -0.782%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.62%27.80%27.82%28.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.363.353.5032.26%29.75%29.85%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.25%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.00%EV +3.71%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.057%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 18:40
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -8.50%E -3.90%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -1.73%E -0.532%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:30
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -8.50%E -3.90%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -1.73%E -0.532%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:30
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -3.46%E -1.50%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.14%EV -2.94%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -3.29%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 18:31
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:30
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:30
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:40
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -7.18%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:40
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:35
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -11.02%E -5.20%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:31
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 18:35
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:40
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:40
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 07:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:30
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:31
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 12:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 13:49
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:36
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 18:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 18:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 18:40
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:30
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:30
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 06:59
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:50
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 17:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 12:49
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:15
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.80%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 18:20
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.86%EV -13.11%E -6.34%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.19%EV -13.22%E -4.61%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.95%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-12 18:36
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-05-12 18:40
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-05-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-05-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-05-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-05-12 18:35
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-05-12 18:40