La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Aberdeen v St Mirren
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aberdeen (Local)
Predicción 41.97%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.46%42.03%41.94%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.192.202.3048.31%45.67%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
St Mirren (Visitante)
Predicción 30.24%3.31momio equitativo
EV +3.71%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.00%30.18%30.24%31.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.873.123.103.4334.84%32.08%32.26%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.79%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.782%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.62%27.80%27.82%28.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.353.5032.26%29.75%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.25%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.00%EV +3.71%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.057% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -8.50%E -3.90%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -1.73%E -0.532%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -8.50%E -3.90%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -1.73%E -0.532%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -3.46%E -1.50%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.14%EV -2.94%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -3.29%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 18:31 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -7.18%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -11.02%E -5.20%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Bovada | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| BetUS | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 18:31 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 12:50 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 13:49 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:39 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 06:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 12:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.80%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.86%EV -13.11%E -6.34%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.19%EV -13.22%E -4.61%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.95%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |