مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aberdeen v St Mirren

البداية: 2026-05-12 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Aberdeen 0–2 St Mirren

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aberdeen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.97%2.38السعر العادل
EV -3.46%
الأفضلية -1.50%
Kelly -2.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.46%42.03%41.94%44.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.072.192.202.3048.31%45.67%45.45%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

St Mirren (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.24%3.31السعر العادل
EV +3.71%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
النمو +0.057%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.00%30.18%30.24%31.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.873.123.103.4334.84%32.08%32.26%29.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.79%3.60السعر العادل
EV -2.74%
الأفضلية -0.782%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.62%27.80%27.82%28.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.363.353.5032.26%29.75%29.85%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.25%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.00%EV +3.71%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.057%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 18:40
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -8.50%E -3.90%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -1.73%E -0.532%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:30
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -8.50%E -3.90%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -1.73%E -0.532%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:30
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -3.46%E -1.50%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.14%EV -2.94%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -3.29%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 18:31
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:30
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -9.34%E -4.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:30
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -10.18%E -4.76%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:40
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -7.18%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:40
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:35
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -11.02%E -5.20%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:31
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.75%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 18:35
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:40
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.66%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:40
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 07:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:30
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:31
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 12:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 13:49
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.74%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:36
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 18:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 18:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 18:40
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:30
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -12.69%E -6.10%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:30
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 06:59
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:50
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 17:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 12:49
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:15
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.80%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 18:20
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.86%EV -13.11%E -6.34%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.19%EV -13.22%E -4.61%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.95%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-12 18:36
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-05-12 18:40
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-05-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-05-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-05-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-05-12 18:35
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-05-12 18:40