Language:English
Aberdeen v Kilmarnock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aberdeen (Local)
Prediction 46.87%2.13fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.92%46.81%46.88%47.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0554.64%50.39%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kilmarnock (Visit)
Prediction 26.45%3.78fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.54%26.48%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.503.6730.30%28.83%28.57%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV +0.043%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.016%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.09%26.65%26.65%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7531.25%28.67%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aberdeen (Local): 46.87%; Kilmarnock (Visit): 26.45%; Draw: 26.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.748. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.750, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.043%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV +0.043%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.29%E -0.349%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -1.29%E -0.349%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 17:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 03:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 05:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 05:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 05:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 05:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.91%EV -2.93%E -0.798%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.56%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 07:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 03:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 03:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 05:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 05:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 06:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 03:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.87%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.09%EV -7.69%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -7.69%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 07:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 07:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.66%E -3.89%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -8.13%E -4.15%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -8.13%E -4.15%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 03:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 07:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 05:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 05:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.48%E -5.48%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 07:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 07:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 07:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 07:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 07:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.93%EV -11.88%E -6.32%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -14.22%E -7.77%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.79%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.29% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.29% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.23% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |